|
|
|
|
SBARG Research AreasSBARG research interests concentrate on Climate Dynamics, Dynamic Meteorology, Regional atmospheric circulations and Wildfires in California. Other Research Projects are found in http://clivac.eri.ucsb.edu Current SBARG and CLIVAC Research Projects National Science Foundation Climate Variability and Impacts on Regional Surface Runoff in High Asia Mountains. PI: L. Carvalho, Co-PI: B. Bookhagen, Co-PI: C. Jones Period: 8/15/11 to 7/31/14
The current state and future fate of the ‘High Asian water
towers’ (i.e., freshwater reservoirs at high elevations) are
of central importance for water, food, and power supply of
densely populated regions in south, east, and central Asia.
In addition to the highly seasonal summer rainfall, winter
precipitation is important for snowmelt and discharge in the
pre-monsoon (spring) season. Runoff from snow is especially
significant in the central Asian and western Himalayan
regions, where hundreds of millions of people reside, but
observation, understanding, and prediction of terrestrial
water storage and fluxes remain poorly understood.
Quantification of seasonal amounts of rain, snow, glacial
and snowmelt waters and associated physical processes are
largely unknown, despite their importance to pre-monsoon and
dry-season water for irrigation, drinking and power
generation. National Science Foundation RAPID: Decadal Variability of the American Monsoons: An Assessment of CMIP5 Simulations PI: L. Carvalho, Co-PI: C. Jones, Co-PI: Carolina Vera (CONICET, University of Buenos Aires, Argentina) Period: 7/1/11 to 6/30/12
The main goals of this RAPID
project are to: 1) develop an extensive assessment of how
realistic simulations from the Climate Model Intercomparison
Project (CMIP5) are in representing the observed
characteristics of the American Monsoon Systems (AMS) in the
recent past and 2) assess uncertainties in projected decadal
climate changes in the AMS. The specific objectives are to: National Science Foundation The Madden-Julian Oscillation and Predictability of Extreme Precipitation in the United States PI: C. Jones, Co-PI: L. Carvalho Period: 7/15/11 to 6/30/14
Extreme precipitation events
are among the most devastating weather phenomena and are
oftentimes associated with loss of life and property. The
Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO is the most prominent form of
tropical intraseasonal variability in the climate system and
has significant influences on the occurrence of extreme
precipitation and forecast skills in the medium-to-extended
ranges. The main goal of this proposal is to advance our
understanding of the influence of the MJO on the
predictability of extreme precipitation in the contiguous
United States on lead times of 1-14 days during boreal
winter. The specific objectives are: National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration An integrated view of the American Monsoon Systems: observations, models and probabilistic forecasts PI: L. Carvalho, Co-PI: C. Jones, Co-PI: B. Liebmann Period: 08/01/2010-076/31/2013 This project focuses on the interactions between the North American Monsoon System (NAMS) and South American Monsoon System (SAMS) and identification of common sources and limits of summer season predictability. The main theme of this proposal is to develop a unified view of the American Monsoon System (AMS). The project evaluates the ability of global models from the World Climate Research Program (WCRP) Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP) to simulate the variability of the AMS in the present climate. The project is comprised of four interconnected main goals. First, the project will investigate the extent to which the annual evolution of NAMS and SAMS and their temporal variability on ISI time scales can be represented with metrics that effectively describe changes in precipitation and atmospheric circulation in the Americas. Second, this will identify regional physical processes and teleconnections that control the interactions between NAMS and SAMS. Third, this project will evaluate the skill of WCRP CMIP coupled models in representing the observed variations in the AMS. Lastly, this project will implement diagnostic monitoring tools, identify sources of potential predictability and develop probabilistic forecasts of the AMS on subseasonal to seasonal scales.
Specific objectives are: CGIAR-CCAFS: Consultative Group on International Agricultural Research - Climate Change: Agriculture and Food Security International Potato Center (CPI), Lima Peru Regional Climate Variability and Changes in the Central Andes PI: L. Carvalho, Co-PI: C. Jones Period: 01/01/2012-12/31/2015 This collaborative work focuses on regional climate variability and changes over the central Andes with an emphasis on potential impacts on water resources and food security particularly potato crop productions and vulnerability. Research activities will be developed under the theme “Integration for decision making” and divided in the following objectives: I. Analysis of climate variability and changes in the central Andes II. Development of climate downscaling methods III. Analysis of climate variability in South America and vulnerability assessments
Previous Projects USAID- International Potato Center, Lima Peru Statistical Physics Climatic Downscaling: Combining Wavelet, Multifractal and Neural Network Approaches in a Unified Scaling Methodology PI: L. Carvalho, Co-PI: C. Jones Period: 04/15/2010-10/15/2010
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Probabilistic Forecasts of Extreme Events and Weather Hazards over the United States PI: C. Jones, Co-PI: L. Carvalho Period: 07/01/2008-12/31/2011 National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Understanding the Mechanisms of Onset and Demise of the South American Monsoon System PI: C. Jones, Co-PI: L. Carvalho Period: 08/01/2007-07/31/2010
US Department of Agriculture (US Forest Service),
02-JV-1272169-0045 National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration An Investigation of Intraseasonal Oscillations in the Atmosphere and their Interannual Variations PI: C. Jones, Co-PI: L. Carvalho Period: 08/01/2005-07/31/2009 National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Variability of Extreme precipitation events in South America: An Assessment on Intraseasonal, Interannual and Decadal Time Scales PI: C. Jones, Co-PI: L. Carvalho Period: 12/01/2000-11/30/2003 National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Statistical Forecasts of Intraseasonal and Seasonal Variations of Precipitation and Temperature over the Western United States PI: C. Jones, Co-PI: Period: 12/01/2000-11/30/2003 National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Decadal Variations in Tropical Intraseasonal Oscillations: Implications for the Pacific Sector PI: C. Jones, Co-PI: Period: 06/01/2003-05/31/2005 National Science Foundation Collaborative Research: The Nature and Predictability of the Madden and Julian Oscillation in the Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere System PI: C. Jones, Co-PI: Period: 07/15/2001-12/31/2005 National Science Foundation Collaborative Research: The Nature and Predictability of the Madden and Julian Oscillation in the Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere System PI: C. Jones, Co-PI: C. Gautier Period: 09/01/1997-08/31/2001 NASA The Role of North African Mineral Aerosols in Climate and Biogeochemistry PI: N. Mahowald, Co-PI: C. Jones Period: 06/01/2000-05/31/2004 NASA A Satellite Approach to Investigate Air-sea Interaction Processes PI: C. Jones, Co-PI: C. Gautier Period: 07/24/2000-09/26/2004 USDA Forest Service High-resolution Real-time Forecasts for Southern California: Applications to Wildfire Management PI: C. Jones, Co-PI: D. Roberts Period: 07/01/2002-06/30/2007 NASA Center for Managing Fire Hazards at the Urban-Wildlands Interface PI: D. Roberts, Co-PI: C. Jones Period: 03/03/1999-02/28/2003 University of California Water Resources Center Assessment of intraseasonal variations in California rainfall and the role of the Madden-Julian Oscillation PI: C. Jones, Co-PI: Period: 07/01/1998-09/30/2000 UCAR COMET Investigation of Mesoscale Wind Patterns in the California Bight: Influence on Extreme Precipitation Events PI: C. Jones, Co-PI: Period: 12/01/1999-03/31/2001 JPL Moisture Budget Variations during Episodes of Intense Westerly Wind Bursts PI: C. Jones, Co-PI: Period: 10/01/1998-04/30/2000
|
|
Send mail to
cjones@eri.ucsb.edu with questions or comments about
this web site.
|