Leila M. V. Carvalho Publications            (Dr. Jones Publications click here)

 

1. Carvalho, L. M. V., Jones, C., A. N. Posadas, R. Quiroz, B. Bookhagen, and B. Liebmann,  2012: Precipitation characteristics of the South Monsoon System derived from multiple data sets.  Journal of Climate, 25, 4600-4620 (pdf)

2. Dickey, T., and co-authors, 2012: Recent Advances in the Study of Optical Variability in the Near-surface and Upper Ocean,  J. Geophysical Research-Oceans 117, C00H20, doi:10.1029/2012JC007964

3. Silva Dias, M. A. F, J Dias, L. M. V. Carvalho, E. D. Freitas, P. L. Silva Dias, 2012: Changes in extreme daily rainfall for São Paulo, Brazil, Climatic Change, DOI 10.1007/s10584-012-0504-7 (pdf)

4. Jones, C., L. M. V. Carvalho, and B. Liebmann, 2012: Forecast skill of the South American Monsoon System. Journal of Climate (In press)

5. Jones, C., and L. M. V. Carvalho, 2012: Spatial-intensity variations in extreme precipitation in the contiguous United States and the Madden-Julian Oscillation.  Journal of Climate, 25, 4898-4913. (pdf)

6. Oliveira, F. N. M, L. M. V. Carvalho and T. Ambrizzi, 2011: Blocking in the Southern Hemisphere: a new climatology for the Austral winter. Submitted to the International Journal of Climatology (paper with student)

7. Liebmann, B,I. Blade, G. Kiladis, L. M. V. Carvalho, G. Senay, D. Allured, S. Leraux, C. Funk, 2012: Seasonality of the African Precipitation: 1996-2009.  Journal of Climate  (DOI 10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00157.1)

8. Bombardi, R. J., and Carvalho, L. M. V., 2011: The South Atlantic dipole and variations in the characteristics of the South American Monsoon in the WCRP-CMIP3 multimodel simulations. Climate Dynamics, 36, Issue 11 (2011), Page 2091-210, (DOI 10.1007/s00382-010-0836-9) (paper with student)

9. Jones, C., L. M. V. Carvalho, J. Gottschalck and W. Higgins, 2011: The Madden-Julian Oscillation and the relative value of deterministic forecasts of extreme precipitation in the contiguous United States. Journal of Climate, 24, 2421-2428

10. Jones, C. and L. M. V. Carvalho, 2011: Stochastic simulations of the Madden-Julian Oscillation activity. Climate Dynamics, 36, 229-246, (DOI 10.1007/s00382-009-0660-2)

11. Jones, C., J. Gottschalck, L. M. V. Carvalho, and W. Higgins, 2011: Influence of the Madden-Julian Oscillation on forecasts of extreme precipitation in the contiguous United States.  Monthly Weather Review, 129, 332-349.(pdf)

12. Jones, C., F. Fujioka and L. M. V. Carvalho, 2011: Forecast skill of synoptic conditions associated with Santa Ana winds in southern California.  Monthly Weather Review 138, 4528-4541.

13. Jones, C., and L. M. V. Carvalho, 2011: Will global warming modify the activity of the Madden-Julian Oscillation? Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society,137, 544-552, DOI: 10.1002/qj.765.

14. Boiaski, N. T., L. M. V. Carvalho, A. W. Gandu and M. S. Mesquita 2010: Sea Ice impacts on the temperature and circulation on the Antarctica Peninsula: a study using the BRAMS model. AGU Atmospheric Sciences Letters, vol 4., No 4, August 2010. (article with student)

15. Marengo, J., B. Liebmann, A. Grimm, V. Misra, P. L. Silva Dias, I. Cavalcanti, L. M. V. Carvalho, E. Berbery, T. Ambrizzi, C. Vera, J. Nogues-Paegle, E. Zipser, A. Seth, 2010:  Recent developments on the South American Monsoon System. Int. Journal of Climatology , DOI: 10.1002/joc.2254

16. Carvalho, L. M. V., A. E. Silva, C. Jones, B. Liebmann, P. L. Silva Dias, H. R. Rocha, 2010: Moisture transport and Intraseasonal Variability in the South America Monsoon System. Climate Dynamics ((DOI 10.1007/s00382-010-0806-2)(paper with student)

17. Carvalho, L. M. V., C. Jones, A. E. Silva, B. Liebmann, P. L. Silva Dias, 2010: The South American Monsoon System and the 1970s climate transition. International Journal of Climatology.  (DOI: 10.1002/joc.2147)) (paper with student)

18. Bombardi, R. J. and Carvalho, L. M. V., 2009: IPCC Global coupled climate model simulations of the South America Monsoon System. Climate Dynamics. 33, 893-916, DOI 10.1007/s00382-008-0488-1 (paper with student)

19. Liebmann, B., G. N. Kiladis, D. Allured, C. Vera, C. Jones, L. M. V. Carvalho, P. Gonzalez, I. Blade, Ana Paula L. M> Gonzales 2011: Mechanisms associated with large daily rainfall events in northeast Brazil. J. Climate, 24, 376-396  DOI: 10.1175/2010JCLI3457.1. (pdf)

20. Jones, C. and L. M. V. Carvalho, 2009: Stochastic simulations of the Madden-Julian Oscillation activity. Climate Dynamics (DOI 10.1007/s00382-009-0660-2).

21. Liebmann, B., G. N. Kiladis, L. M. V. Carvalho, C. Jones, C. S. Vera, I. Blade, D. Allured, 2009: Origin of Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves over South America.  J. Climate  22, 300-315.

22. Muza, M. N., L. M. V. Carvalho, C. Jones, and B. Liebmann, 2009: Intraseasonal and Interannual variability of Extreme Dry and Wet Events over Southeastern South America and Subtropical Atlantic during the Austral Summer.  J. Climate, 22,1682-1699  (paper with student)

23. Lima, F. U. F, and L. M. V. Carvalho, 2008: Extreme intraseasonal anomalies in the Amundsen-Bellinghausen sea ice extent during the Austral winter. Annals of Glaciology ,  48, 58-64. (paper with student)

24. Bombardi, R. J. and L. M. V. Carvalho, 2008: Variabilidade do regime de monções sobre a região do cerrado: o clima presente e projeções para um cenário com 2xCO₂ usando o modelo MIROC. Rev. Bras. Meteor. 23, 58-72. (paper with student)

25. Carvalho, L. M. V., C. Vera and C. Jones, 2008: The main characteristics of intraseasonal variability in the South American Monsoon System (SAMS).  WCRP Clivar VAMOS Newsletter 4, 7-10. (click here for the article).

26. Silva, A. E., and L. M. V. Carvalho, 2007: Large-scale index for South America Monsoon (LISAM). Atmospheric Science Letters, 8, 51-57, DOI: 10.1002/asl.150 (paper with student)

27. Carvalho, L. M. V., A. A. Tsonis,  C. Jones, H. R. Rocha, P. S. Polito, 2007: Anti-persistence in global temperature anomaly. Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics, 14, 723-733.

28. Jones, C., and L. M. V. Carvalho, 2006: Changes in the activity of the Madden-Julian oscillation during 1958-2004.  Journal of Climate, 19, 6353–6370.

29. Silva, M. E. S.,  Carvalho, L. M. V., Dias, M. A. F. S., Xavier, T. M. B. S. (2006) . Complexity and Predictability of Daily Precipitation in a Semi-Arid Region: an application to Ceará, Brazil , Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics, 13, 651-659.
30.  Liebmann, B., Camargo, S., Seth, A., Marengo, J., Carvalho, L. M. V., Allured, D., Fu, and Vera, C. . Onset and End of the Rainy Season in South America in Observations and the ECHAM 4.5 Atmospheric General Circulation Model. Journal of Climate, 20,2037-2050

31. Muza, M. N. ; Carvalho, L. M. V. 2006 . Variabilidade Intra-sazonal e inter-anual de Extremos na Precipitação sobre o Centro-Sul da Amazônia . Revista Brasileira de Meteorologia, 21, 29-41. (paper with student)

32. Carvalho, L. M. V., C. Jones, and T. Ambrizzi, 2005: Opposite phases of the Antarctic Oscillation and Relationships with Intraseasonal to Interannual activity in the tropics during the Austral Summer. J. Climate,18,702-718

33. Gonçalves, F. L. T., L. M. V. Carvalho,  M. R.D.O. Latorre, F.C. Conde, P.H.N. Saldiva, A. L. F. Braga, 2005: The effects of atmospheric pollution and meteorological parameters on respiratory morbidity during the summer in São Paulo city. Env. International,31,343-349.

34. Carvalho, L. M. V, C. Jones, and B. Liebmann, 2004: The South Atlantic Convergence Zone: persistence, intensity, form, extreme precipitation and relationships with intraseasonal activity.  J. Climate,17, 88-108.

35. Jones, C., L. M. V. Carvalho, R.W. Higgins, D. E. Waliser, J.K.E. Schemm, 2004a: Climatology of tropical intraseasonal convective anomalies 1979-2002. J. Climate,17,523-539.

36. Jones, C., L. M. V. Carvalho, R.W. Higgins, D. E. Waliser, J.K.E. Schemm, 2004b: A Statistical forecast model of tropical intraseasonal convective anomalies. J. Climate ,17,2078-2095.

37. Liebmann, B, G. N. Kiladis, C. S. Vera, A. C. Saulo, L. M. V. Carvalho, 2004a: Subseasonal variations of rainfall in the vicinity of the South American low-level jet stream and comparison to those in the South Atlantic Convergence Zone. J. Climate,17, 3829–3842.

38. Liebmann, B, C. S. Vera, L. M. V. Carvalho, A. C. Saulo, I. Camilloni, M. P. Hoerling, D. Allured, M. Bidegain, J. Baez, V. Barros, 2004b: An Observed Trend in Central South American Precipitation. J. Climate , 17, 4357-4367

39. Carvalho, L. M. V., C. Jones, B. Liebmann, 2002a: Extreme precipitation events in Southeastern South America and large-scale convective patterns in South Atlantic Convergence Zone. J. Climate, 15, 2377-2394

40. Carvalho, L. M. V., C. Jones, and M. A. F. Silva Dias, 2002b: Intraseasonal large-scale circulations and mesoscale convective activity in Tropical South America during the TRMM-LBA campaign. J. Geoph. Res. , 29, 10.102/2001JD000745.

41. Carvalho, L. M. V., D. Lavalleé, and C. Jones, 2002c: Multifractal properties of evolving convective systems over tropical South America.  Geophysical Research Letters,29,10.1029/2001GL014276).

42. Jones, C. , and L. M. V. Carvalho, 2002: Active and break phases in the South American Monsoon System. J. Climate, 15, 905-914.

43.  Nieto-Ferreira, R., D. L. Herdies, T. M. Rickenbach, and L. M. V. Carvalho, 2003: Variability of South American convective cloud systems and tropospheric circulation during January-March 1998 and 1999.  Mon. Wea. Rev. 131, 961–973.

44.  Carvalho, L. M. V., and C. Jones, 2001: A satellite method to identify structural properties of mesoscale convective systems based on maximum spatial correlation tracking technique (MASCOTTE).  J. Appl. Meteor, 40, 1683-1701.

45.  Liebmann, B. , C. Jones and L.M. V. Carvalho, 2001: Interannual variability of extreme precipitation events in the State of São Paulo, Brazil. J. Climate, 14, 208-218.

46.  Carvalho, L. M. V. , M.A.F. Silva Dias, 2000: Test of sensitivity of fractal box counting dimensions of mesoscale convective systems observed from satellite images with limited area and different spatial resolutions. Rev. Bras. Meteor. 15,89-101. (in Portuguese)

47. Carvalho, L. M. V. and M.A.F. Silva Dias, 1998: An application of fractal box dimension to the recognition of mesoscale cloud patterns in infrared satellite images.  J. Appl. Meteor. 37, 1265-1282.

Book Chapters

Carvalho, L. M. V., and C. Jones: The South Atlantic Convergence Zone ("Zona de Convergencia do Atlantico Su"l ) in Climate and Weather in Brazil ("Tempo e Clima no Brasil"), Eds. I. F. A. Cavalcanti, N. J. Ferreira, M. G. A. J. Silva, M. A. F. Silva Dias, Oficina de textos, SP, Brazil (in Portuguese)

Carvalho, L. M. V., A. A. Tsonis, and C. Jones: On the spatiotemporal variability of the temperature anomaly field. in "Nonlinear Dynamics in Geosciences".  Eds. A. A. Tsonis and J. Elsner, Springer 2007

Massambani, O and L.M.V. Carvalho: "Climate and environment"  (Clima e Ambiente)  in " The environmental Issue" (A Questão Ambiental)", Ed. L. E. Magalhaes ,Terragraph, SP, 1994 (in portuguese).

Last modified: 03/21/12