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LEILA M. V. CARVALHO

(Click here for Complete C.V. Dr. Leila Carvalho (English))   (CV Lattes)         (Click here for Complete CV Dr. Adilson Gandu)

 

Refereed Journal Articles

  1. Jones, C., and L. M. V. Carvalho: Will global warming modify the activity of the Madden-Julian Oscillation? Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society (submitted)

  2. Carvalho, L. M. V., A. E. Silva, C. Jones, B. Liebmann, P. L. Silva Dias, H. R. Rocha, 2009: Moisture transport and Intraseasonal Variability in the South America Monsoon System. Submitted to Climate Dynamics.

  3. Bombardi, R. J., and Carvalho, L. M. V., 2009: Sea surface temperature patterns and variations in the characteristics of the South America Monsoon system in the WCRP-CMIP3 multi-model simulations. Climate Dynamics (in revision) (paper with student)

  4. Carvalho, L. M. V., C. Jones, A. E. Silva, B. Liebmann, P. L. Silva Dias, 2009: The South American Monsoon System and the 1970s climate transition. Submitted to International Journal of Climatology.  (paper with student)

  5. Liebmann, B., G. N. Kiladis, D. Allured, C. Vera, C. Jones, L. M. V. Carvalho, P. Gonzalez, I. Blade, 2009: Subseasonal Variability of Precipitation in Northeast Brazil. Submitted to J. Climate.

  6. Carvalho, L. M. V., C. Jones, A. E. Silva, B. Liebmann, P. L. Silva Dias, 2009: The South American Monsoon System and the 1970s climate transition. Submitted to International Journal of Climatology.  (paper with student)

  7. Jones, C. and L. M. V. Carvalho, 2009: Stochastic simulations of the Madden-Julian Oscillation activity. Climate Dynamics (DOI 10.1007/s00382-009-0660-2).

  8. Muza, M. N., L. M. V. Carvalho, C. Jones, and B. Liebmann, 2009: Intraseasonal and Interannual variability of Extreme Dry and Wet Events over Southeastern South America and Subtropical Atlantic during the Austral Summer.  J. Climate,22, 1682-1699

  9. Liebmann, B., G. N. Kiladis, L. M. V. Carvalho, C. Jones, C. S. Vera, I. Blade, D. Allured, 2009: Origin of Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves over South America.  J. Climate, 22, 300-315

  10. Carvalho, L. M. V., C. Vera and C. Jones, 2008: The main characteristics of intraseasonal variability in the South American Monsoon System (SAMS).  WCRP Clivar VAMOS Newsletter 4, 7-10. (click here for the article) (click here for the entire newsletter)

  11. Bombardi, R. J. and Carvalho, L. M. V., 2008: IPCC Global coupled climate model simulations of the South America Monsoon System. Climate Dynamics. DOI 10.1007/s00382-008-0488-1

  12. Lima, F. U. F, and L. M. V. Carvalho, 2008: Extreme intraseasonal anomalies in the Amundsen-Bellinghausen sea ice extent during the Austral winter. Annals of Glaciology ,  48, 58-64.

  13. Jones, C., and L. M. V. Carvalho, 2006: Changes in the activity of the Madden-Julian oscillation during 1958-2004.  Journal of Climate, 19, 6353–6370.

  14. Silva, A. E., and L. M. V. Carvalho, 2007: Large-scale index for South America Monsoon (LISAM). Atmospheric Science Letters, 8, 51-57, DOI: 10.1002/asl.150

  15. Bombardi, R. J. and L. M. V. Carvalho, 2008: Variabilidade do regime de monções sobre a região do cerrado: o clima presente e projeções para um cenário com 2xCO2 usando o modelo MIROC. Rev. Bras. Meteor. 23, 58-72

  16. Carvalho, L. M. V., A. A. Tsonis,  C. Jones, H. R. Rocha, P. S. Polito, 2007: Anti-persistence in global temperature anomaly. Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics, 14, 723-733

  17. SILVA, M. E. S. ; CARVALHO, L. M. V. ; DIAS, M. A. F. S. ; XAVIER, T. M. B. S. (2006) . Complexity and Predictability of Daily Precipitation in a Semi-Arid Region: an application to Ceará, Brazil , Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics, 13, 651-659.

  18.  LIEBMANN, B. ; CAMARGO, S. ; SETH, A. ; MARENGO, J. ; CARVALHO, L. M. V. ; ALLURED, D. ; FU, ; VERA, C. . Onset and End of the Rainy Season in South America in Observations and the ECHAM 4.5 Atmospheric General Circulation Model. Journal of Climate, 20,2037-2050

  19. MUZA, M. N. ; CARVALHO, L. M. V. 2006 . Variabilidade Intra-sazonal e inter-anual de Extremos na Precipitação sobre o Centro-Sul da Amazônia . Revista Brasileira de Meteorologia, 21, 29-41, 2006.

  20. Carvalho, L. M. V., C. Jones, and T. Ambrizzi, 2005: Opposite phases of the Antarctic Oscillation and Relationships with Intraseasonal to Interannual activity in the tropics during the Austral Summer. J. Climate,18,702-718

  21. Gonçalves, F. L. T., L. M. V. Carvalho,  M. R.D.O. Latorre, F.C. Conde, P.H.N. Saldiva, A. L. F. Braga, 2005: The effects of atmospheric pollution and meteorological parameters on respiratory morbidity during the summer in São Paulo city. Env. International,31,343-349.

  22. Carvalho, L. M. V, C. Jones, and B. Liebmann, 2004: The South Atlantic Convergence Zone: persistence, intensity, form, extreme precipitation and relationships with intraseasonal activity.  J. Climate,17, 88-108.

  23. Jones, C., L. M. V. Carvalho, R.W. Higgins, D. E. Waliser, J.K.E. Schemm, 2004a: Climatology of tropical intraseasonal convective anomalies 1979-2002. J. Climate,17,523-539.

  24. Jones, C., L. M. V. Carvalho, R.W. Higgins, D. E. Waliser, J.K.E. Schemm, 2004b: A Statistical forecast model of tropical intraseasonal convective anomalies. J. Climate ,17,2078-2095.

  25. Liebmann, B, G. N. Kiladis, C. S. Vera, A. C. Saulo, L. M. V. Carvalho, 2004a: Subseasonal variations of rainfall in the vicinity of the South American low-level jet stream and comparison to those in the South Atlantic Convergence Zone. J. Climate,17, 3829–3842.

  26. Liebmann, B, C. S. Vera, L. M. V. Carvalho, A. C. Saulo, I. Camilloni, M. P. Hoerling, D. Allured, M. Bidegain, J. Baez, V. Barros, 2004b: An Observed Trend in Central South American Precipitation. J. Climate , 17, 4357-4367

  27. Carvalho, L. M. V., C. Jones, B. Liebmann, 2002a: Extreme precipitation events in Southeastern South America and large-scale convective patterns in South Atlantic Convergence Zone. J. Climate, 15, 2377-2394

  28. Carvalho, L. M. V., C. Jones, and M. A. F. Silva Dias, 2002b: Intraseasonal large-scale circulations and mesoscale convective activity in Tropical South America during the TRMM-LBA campaign. J. Geoph. Res. , 29, 10.102/2001JD000745.

  29. Carvalho, L. M. V., D. Lavalleé, and C. Jones, 2002c: Multifractal properties of evolving convective systems over tropical South America.  Geophysical Research Letters,29,10.1029/2001GL014276).

  30. Jones, C. , and L. M. V. Carvalho, 2002: Active and break phases in the South American Monsoon System. J. Climate, 15, 905-914.

  31.  Nieto-Ferreira, R., D. L. Herdies, T. M. Rickenbach, and L. M. V. Carvalho, 2003: Variability of South American convective cloud systems and tropospheric circulation during January-March 1998 and 1999.  Mon. Wea. Rev. 131, 961–973.

  32.  Carvalho, L. M. V., and C. Jones, 2001: A satellite method to identify structural properties of mesoscale convective systems based on maximum spatial correlation tracking technique (MASCOTTE).  J. Appl. Meteor, 40, 1683-1701.

  33.  Liebmann, B. , C. Jones and L.M. V. Carvalho, 2001: Interannual variability of extreme precipitation events in the State of São Paulo, Brazil. J. Climate, 14, 208-218.

  34.  Carvalho, L. M. V. , M.A.F. Silva Dias, 2000: Test of sensitivity of fractal box counting dimensions of mesoscale convective systems observed from satellite images with limited area and different spatial resolutions. Rev. Bras. Meteor. 15,89-101. (in Portuguese)

  35. Carvalho, L. M. V. and M.A.F. Silva Dias, 1998: An application of fractal box dimension to the recognition of mesoscale cloud patterns in infrared satellite images.  J. Appl. Meteor. 37, 1265-1282.

Chapter in books:

 

Carvalho, L. M. V., A. A. Tsonis, and C. Jones: On the spatiotemporal variability of the temperature anomaly field. in "Nonlinear Dynamics in Geosciences".  Eds. A. A. Tsonis and J. Elsner, Springer 2007

Massambani, O e L.M.V. Carvalho: "O Clima e o Meio Ambiente"  in "A Questão Ambiental", Coord. L. E. Magalhaes Ed. Terragraph, 1994

 

Articles in Conferences:

1. International:

Carvalho, L. M. V. and C. Jones, 2005: Tropical-extratropical interactions and implications for ozone trends.

            Chapman Conference on Tropical-Extratropical Climatic Teleconnections, A Long-Term Perspective

             University of Hawaii, Honolulu, Hawaii.

Carvalho, L.M. V., M. Muza, B. Liebman, 2005: Intraseasonal to interannual variability of extreme precipitation

             events in southeastern South America. First Meeting of the MESA Science Working Group (SWG-1),

             Mexico City, Mexico.

Carvalho, L. M. V. , C. Jones, T. Ambrizzi, 2004:  Opposite phases of the Antarctic Oscillation

            and Relationships with Intraseasonal to Interannual Activity in the Tropics during the Austral Summer,

             XVIII SCAR 2004 – Julho 2004, Bremen,Germany

Jones, C., and L. M. V. Carvalho, 2005: An observational analysis of decadal   

            variations in the Madden-Julian Oscillation. American Geophysical Union, 25th Joint Assembly, New Orleans, LA

Jones, C., and L. M. V. Carvalho, 2005: An observational analysis of decadal variations in the Madden-Julian

            Oscillation. First Meeting of the MESA Science Working Group (SWG-1), Mexico City, Mexico.

Carvalho, L. M. V. and C. Jones, 2004: Can Variations of Convection and Circulation in the

            Tropics and Subtropics Play a Role in the Natural Variability of the Antarctic Ozone? The Global Circulation

             of the Atmosphere Conference, Caltech, Pasadena, 4-6 November 2004.

Carvalho, L. M. V. and C. Jones, 2004: Can Variations of Convection and Circulation in the Tropics and

            Subtropics Play a Role in the Natural Variability of the Antarctic Ozone? 29th Climate Diagnostic and Prediction Workshop, Madison, Wisconsin.

Jones, C., and L. M. V. Carvalho, 2005: An observational analysis of decadal variations in the Madden-Julian Oscillation.

             Chapman Conference on Tropical-Extratropical Climatic Teleconnections, A Long-Term Perspective University of Hawaii,    Honolulu, Hawaii.

Carvalho, L. M. V., C. Jones, and T. Ambrizzi, 2003: Antarctic oscillation, storm tracks and interannual variability of the SACZ. EGS - AGU - EUG Joint Assembly, Nice, France, April 2003

Carvalho, L. M. V., C. Jones, and T. Ambrizzi, 2003: Antarctic Oscillation variations and teleconnections with convective activity in the tropics.83rd Annual Meeting of the American Meteorological Society, February 9-13, Long Beach, CA

Carvalho, L. M. V., and C. Jones, and B. Liebmann, 2002: The role of MJO activity modulating the SACZ persistence, intensity and form, and regional impacts on extreme precipitation events. Prospects for improved forecasts of weather and short-term climate variability on subseasonal (2 weeks to 2 months) time scales. April 16-18a, 2002, Greenbelt, Maryland.

C. Jones, and L. M. V. Carvalho, 2002: Variability of tropical intraseasonal convective anomalies and their statistical forecast skill. Prospects for improved forecasts of weather and short-term climate variability on subseasonal (2 weeks to 2 months) time scales. April 16-18a, 2002, Greenbelt, Maryland.

Carvalho, L. M. V., and C. Jones, 2001: Extreme precipitation events in southeastern South America and relationships with summertime large-scale South American stationary systems (SASSY). Proceedings of 8th International Meeting on Statistical Climatology, University of Luneburg, Germany, 12-16 March 2001.

Carvalho, L. M. V, C. Jones, and B. Liebmann, 2001: Extreme precipitation events in southeastern South America and convective patterns in the South Atlantic Convergence Zone. Proceedings of the 26th Annual Climate Diagnostic and Prediction Workshop, Scripps, La Jolla, October 2001.

Carvalho, L. M. V., D. Lavalleé, and C. Jones, 2001: A multifractal approach to identify extremes in the precipitation regime in South America. Proceedings of the AGU- Fall Meeting, San Francisco, 10-15 December, 2001

C. Jones, and L. M. V. Carvalho, 2001: Statistical forecasts of summertime South American stationary systems (SASSY). Proceedings of 8th International Meeting on Statistical Climatology, University of Luneburg, Germany, 12-16 March 2001.

Carvalho, L. M. V., D. Lavallee, and C. Jones, 2000: Multifractal Properties of Evolving Mesoscale Convective Systems over the Amazon. Proceedings of the American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting, San Francisco, December 15-19, 2000

C. Jones, and L. M. V. Carvalho, 2000: Variability of Structural Properties of Mesoscale Convective Systems during the TRMM/LBA campaign in Rondônia, Brazil. Proceedings of the American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting, San Francisco, December 15-19, 2000

C. Jones, L. M. V. Carvalho and B. Liebmann, 2000: The Climatology and Variability of the South Atlantic Convergence Zone. Proceedings of the 12th Symposium on Global Change Studies and Climate Variations, 81th Annual Meeting of the American Meteorological Society, Albuquerque, NM.

Carvalho, L. M. V., C. Jones and B. Liebmann, 2000: Extreme precipitation events in southeastern South America and relationships with the South Atlantic Convergence Zone. Proceedings of the Symposium on Precipitation Extremes: Prediction, Impacts, and Responses, 81st Annual Meeting of the American Meteorological Society, Albuquerque, NM.

Carvalho, L. M. V. and C. Jones, 2000: Large-scale modulation of mesoscale convective systems over the Amazon: an overview on the WETAMC-LBA/TRMM 1999 campaign. Proceedings of the 25th Annual Climate Diagnostic and Prediction Workshop, Columbia University, NY.

Jones C., L. M. V. de Carvalho and B. Liebmann, 2000: The climatology and variability of the South Atlantic Convergence Zone. Proceedings of the 25th Annual Climate Diagnostic and Prediction Workshop, Columbia University, NY

Liebmann, B., C. Jones, and L. M. V. de Carvalho, 2000:Extreme daily precipitation events in Southeast Brazil. Proceedings of the 25th Annual Climate Diagnostic and Prediction Workshop, Columbia University, NY

 Carvalho, L. M. V., and Jones, C., 2000: Structural characteristics of mesoscale convective systems over the Amazon. Proceedings of the 13th International Commission on Clouds and Precipitation, Reno, Nevada, 1259-1262 pp.

 Carvalho, L. M. V., C. Jones, T. M. Rickenbach and M. A. F. Silva Dias, 2000: Precipitation Characteristics of mesoscale convective systems in the tropical western Pacific inferred from satellite, radar reflectivity and a mesoscale numerical model. 10th Conference on Satellite Meteorology and Oceanography, 9-14 January 2000, Long Beach CA, USA.

 Carvalho, L. M. V and T. M. Rickenbach: An intercomparison between radar reflectivity and the infrared cloud classification technique for the TOGA-COARE area, 1999 AGU Spring Meeting, Boston, USA., April, 27, 1999

 Rickenbach, T. M, and L. M. V. Carvalho, 1999: Infrared cloud top signatures of evolving mesoscale convective system in the tropical western Pacific: comparison with radar reflectivity. Anais da 23th AMS Conference on Huricanes and Tropical Meteorology, Dallas, TX, 10-15 Jan, 1999, 524-527.

 Carvalho, L.M.V., C. Jones and T. Rickenbach, 1999: Precipitation Characteristics of Mesoscale Convective Systems in the Tropical Western Pacific inferred from Satellite, Radar Reflectivity and a Mesoscale Numerical Model. Submitted to the 10th Confence on Satellite Meteorology and Oceanography, 80th American Meteorological Society annual meeting, 9-14 January 2000, Long Beach CA, USA.

 Carvalho, L. M. V., M. A. F. Silva Dias e L. A. T. Machado 1998: A method to identify morphology and spatial scale of cloud systems using fractal  box-counting technique. Annales Geophysicae, European Geophysical Society, Nice, Abril 20-24, C-1078.

 Carvalho, L. M. V., M. A. F. Silva Dias e L. A. T. Machado 1997: Mesoscale cloud patterns over the equatorial Pacific Ocean as inferred from fractal box-counting dimensions. Annales Geophysicae, European Geophysical Society, Vienna, April 21-25, C-549.

 Carvalho, L. M. V and M. A. F. Silva Dias, 1996: Mesoscale cloud patterns in continental infrared images as inferred from fractal box dimension technique. Anais VII Congreso Argentino de Meteorología, Buenos Aires, Setembro 1996, 245-246.

2. National

Carvalho, L. M. V., M. A. F. Silva Dias e L. A. T. Machado, 1996: Características da nebulosidade sobre o Oceano Pacífico equatorial obtidas via satélite através de análise de agrupamentos. Anais do IX Congresso Brasileiro de Meteorologia, Campos do Jordão, novembro de 1996, 1496-1499.

Silva Dias, M. A. F, L. M. V. Carvalho e A. M. Gomes 1996: Um caso de tempestade severa em ambiente ciclônico em grande escala. Anais do IX Congresso Brasileiro de Meteorologia, Campos do Jordão, novembro de 1996, 1316-1320.

Carvalho, L. M. V. e M. A. F. Silva Dias, 1994: Análise das características fractais de sistemas meteorológicos de mesoescala. Anais do VIII Congresso Brasileiro de Meteorologia e II Congresso Latino-Americano e Ibérico de Meteorologia , 28 de setembro a 02 de outubro de 1994, Belo Horizonte, MG, pp 233-238.

Moraes, O.L., A. D. Gervásio, A. P. Oliveira, M. F. Andrade, L. M. V. Carvalho e C. M. Vasconcelos, 1994: Projeto Candiota.Anais do VIII Congresso Brasileiro de Meteorologia e II Congresso Latino-Americano e Ibérico de Meteorologia , 28 de setembro a 02 de outubro de 1994, Belo Horizonte, MG, pp 101-104.

Andrade, M. F. e L. M. V. Carvalho, 1994: Estudo dos componentes principais associados a parâmetros meteorológicos e seus impactos na determinação de fontes de aerossóis atmosféricos em São Paulo. Anais do VIII Congresso Brasileiro de Meteorologia e II Congresso Latino-Americano e Ibérico de Meteorologia , 28 de setembro a 02 de outubro de 1994, Belo Horizonte, MG, pp 125-129.

Carvalho, L. M. V. e O. Massambani , 1992: Aplicação da Dimensão Fractal Local em nuvens através das imagens Infravermelho via Satélite. Anais do VII Congresso Brasileiro de Meteorologia , 28 de setembro a 02 de outubro de 1992, São Paulo, SP, pp 107-111.

Carvalho, L. M. V. e O. Massambani , 1992: A temperatura mínima local em imagens Infravermelho e a precipitação em eventos semi-estacionários. Anais do VII Congresso Brasileiro de Meteorologia ,28 de setembro a 02 de outubro  de 1992,São Paulo, SP, pp. 769-773.

Carvalho, L. M. V. e O.Massambani , 1992: Avaliação da interpolação linear temporal das imagens de nuvens no infravermelho via satélite. Anais do VII Congresso Brasileiro de Meteorologia - 28 de setembro a 02 de outubro de 1992, São Paulo, SP, pp. 183-187.

Massambani O., L. M. V. Carvalho , M. Vázques , 1992: Tornado ou micro-explosão? Um diagnóstico via radar do evento de Itú-São Paulo. Anais do VII Congresso Brasileiro de Meteorologia, 28 de setembro a 02 de outubro de 1992 São Paulo, SP, pp 763-767.

Carvalho,L.M.V, O. Massambani,1990: Análise da Textura nas imagens IV de satélites meteorológicos e aplicações ao estudo da convecção. Anais do VI Congresso Brasileiro de Meteorologia, 19-23 Novembro 1990, Salvador, Bahia, vol. 2, pp. 743-747.

Carvalho,L.M.V., A.J.Pereira Filho, M.T.L.Barros,1988: Climatologia da Precipitação na área de abrangência do radar de Bauru. Anais do V Congresso Brasileiro de Meteorologia, 7 a 11 de novembro de 1988, Rio de Janeiro, RJ, v.2, p.VIII.25 - VIII.29.

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